All eyes on September rains as monsoon deficit widens | India News – Times of India

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[google-translator]

NEW DELHI: Poor rains in August have widened the monsoon deficit in the country. Though it’s not yet clear whether the overall monsoon would still be ‘normal’ as predicted earlier, at the end of the four-month season the India Meteorological Department (IMD) is banking on the likelihood of good rains in September to bridge the gap.
Cumulative rainfall records of the first three months of the monsoon season shows that the overall deficit increased from 1% on July 31 to 9% on August 31 with northwest and central India reporting the maximum departure from normal.

“We will come out with a monthly forecast for September on Wednesday,” said IMD chief, M Mohapatra, while admitting that the rainfall in August was not as predicted, resulting in widening of the deficit.
Noting progress of the monsoon and its intervening ‘break’ phase, the private weather forecasting agency, Skymet Weather, had on August 23 predicted 60% chance of ‘below normal’ monsoon rainfall for the four-month period from June to September.
The IMD has, however, at this juncture preferred not to downgrade its earlier prediction of overall ‘normal’ monsoon rainfall in India. It had on June 1 predicted that the southwest monsoon seasonal (June to September) rainfall over the country as a whole is most likely to be ‘normal’ (96 to 104 % of Long Period Average). Nevertheless, certain areas including Gujarat and western Rajasthan will most likely face ‘drought’ conditions as the deficit is quite deep in the region.

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