MUMBAI: The January 9-15 week is most likely to be the peak of the Omicron Covid-wave in the city, said Dr Shashank Joshi, member of the state Covid task force. As case peaks are followed by a rise in severe cases and deaths, Joshi said the next two weeks would be important. The point of concern is the presence of the Delta variant that is leading to lung involvement and severity. “We cannot relax yet and need to wear an N95 mask,” he added.
Genome sequencing results declared on Friday revealed 238 more Omicron patients in the state, taking the total to 1,605 so far. According to state surveillance officer Dr Pradeep Awate, two of these patients are from Mumbai, three from Navi Mumbai, 197 from Pune municipal corporation region, three from Pune and one from Akola.

While cases in the Mumbai region have been increasing over the last fortnight, cases in Pune and Nagpur are only beginning to post sharp rises. “The Omicron peak is going to be geography-centric. The peak for Mumbai will be different from Pune and Delhi. The peaks for various municipalities within the Mumbai metropolitan region itself will be at different times,” explained Joshi.
The weekly trend shows Mumbai’s test positivity rate has been hovering between 20% and 22% and hospitalisations haven’t been going up. “We need to separate the number of people admitted with Covid (people who get admitted for a procedure and are diagnosed with Covid) as against the number of people admitted due to Covid to get a correct picture of severity,” he said. With Friday’s cases, the total caseload of the state rose to 71.2 lakh with 1.4 lakh deaths.
In the last one week, the state has reported a decline in cases on three days, while Mumbai has reported a drop on six days. Active cases in the state rose to 2.6 lakh but Mumbai’s active cases dropped to 84,352 from over 1 lakh two days ago.
State officials said the state’s decline is being slowed down by the surge in other districts which has just begun. “Once the cases reach districts where vaccine coverage is low, we will get a clear idea regarding its severity. Districts have been asked to ensure implementation of Covid-appropriate behaviour and increase vaccine coverage,” said an official.

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